On the 2023 PSLCE and JCE exam results & the coming curriculum review in Malawi

That this year’s Primary School Leaving Certificate Education examination (PSLCE) results in Malawi show improvements from last year is worth commenting on. The overall pass rate has gone up by 4 percent, from 83 percent in 2022, to 87 percent in 2023. The number of students who have passed has also gone up from last year. Last year 216,664 students passed the exam, this year that number is 234,645. This year 7,000 more students sat the exam.

Both girls and boys have improved their pass rates. The girls have improved by 6 percent, from 78 percent last year to 84 percent this year, while the boys have improved by 2 percent, from 88 percent last year to 90 percent this year. However, the pass rate for Special Needs Education students has gone down by 5 percent, from 76 percent last year, to 71 percent this year.

These improvements are remarkable. They show that despite everything that was thrown at the system in the past academic year, from climate crises to health emergencies, to the economic hardship the country is going through, some things in the education system are working well. It is delightful to see girls improving by six percent, and boys reaching the 90 percent pass rate. If the girls can achieve another 6 percent improvement next year, they too will reach the 90 percent pass rate. That would be outstanding. For SNE students, something needs to be done; their results should be going up, not down.

That said, selection to secondary school in Malawi remains a big worry. Only 41 percent of those who have passed have been selected into secondary schools. It has been 59 years since independence, and despite the many secondary schools constructed across the country, we still have very few of them, given the size of our population. Currently there are 250 new secondary schools being constructed and/or expanded, through various projects funded by development partners, and taxpayer money.

But we have a long way to go to reach a 100 percent transition rate, as per the 2030 target. That would require constructing more than the current number of secondary schools by 2030. Statistics from the Ministry of Education show that in 2022, there were 1,610 secondary schools in the country. This number should not be taken literally, because 327 of those schools were categorised as “Open.” Students in the “Open” system use the premises of existing government-run secondary schools, in the afternoon, after their conventional colleagues. They are enrolled and managed through the school’s own arrangement, rather than the government.

If we remove the Open schools, we remain with 1,283 schools that are real and have physical infrastructure of their own. Out of these, in the 2022 academic year, 365 were private, leaving 918 as the number of government-run secondary schools. Out of the 918 government-run secondary schools, 774 were Community Day Secondary Schools (CDSSs), representing 84 percent. What all this means is that even if we had some inexplicable windfall and managed to construct another 1,283 new secondary schools in seven years, we would still not be able to achieve a 100 percent primary school transition rate.

For one thing, a population growth rate of 2.9 percent means that the number of students keeps increasing every year. A pertinent observation that needs to be made is that the secondary school net enrolment is only 16.6 percent, meaning that a whopping 83.4 percent of the country’s 14-17 year olds are not attending secondary school (this week a report by Afrobarometer and the Mastercard Foundation said 66 percent of African youth were now attending secondary school). We would need to construct a far bigger number of secondary schools to accommodate the anticipated growth in enrolment.

The number of learners who sat the 2023 PSLCE examination is just one quarter of the number that enrolled in Standard One, eight years ago. In the 2015/2016 school year, there were an estimated 1.1 million learners in the country’s Standard One classrooms. New entrants numbered around 800,000, and another 300,000 were repeating. Eight years later, only 267,330 learners made it to Standard 8 and sat the exam. There is a reason to believe that completion and survival rates will gradually improve. We should therefore anticipate far greater numbers of learners who complete primary school, and will be looking for secondary school spaces.

We could try adopting a double shift system, currently utilised by only 4 percent of secondary schools, but the quality of the education offered would be hugely compromised. We already have the evidence for this. The gap between internal, external and ODeL students in this year’s Junior Certificate of Education (JCE) examination results is alarming. Whereas internal candidates passed at a rate of 85.5 percent, the pass rate for external candidates is 53.8 percent. That is a 31-percentage difference. It is worse for Open Distance and eLearning students, whose pass rate is 47 percent, a 38 percent gap with internal students. These differences point to huge inequalities in school conditions and resources available to the different categories of secondary school students.

Considering that in the 59 years since independence, we have managed to construct 1,283 secondary schools, and only 918 are public, Malawi’s hope for expanding secondary education access lies in alternative means of provision. Of particular interest is Open Distance and eLearning. In 2020, the Ministry of Education established two new directorates, namely Open Distance and eLearning (DODeL), and Science, Technology and Innovation (DSTI). Between these two new directorates, the Ministry of Education is developing new strategies to bring new ways of thinking and operating to solve the serious bottlenecks that have hamstrung the country’s education system for decades. That is where there are realistic chances that access to quality secondary school education can be widened, in the 7 years remaining to 2030.

The human capital development imperative to provide secondary and further education to more Malawians is overwhelming. The 2018 Population and Housing Census revealed that only 7.1 percent of Malawian adults have a Malawi School Certificate of Education (MSCE) or its equivalent. Put differently, 92.9 percent of adult Malawians do not have a secondary school qualification. The census also reported that only 2.9 percent of adult Malawians have acquired tertiary education.

As the country’s struggles to make education available to more Malawians, a more poignant question will be on the type of education that should be provided. And this is the right time to be asking this question. The Malawi Institute of Education, the country’s national curriculum centre, is embarking on national consultations as part of a curriculum review for primary, secondary and teacher education. There are a lot of issues that the curriculum review process needs to look at, but the topmost three, in my view, are the Malawi 2063 vision, recent health and climate emergencies, and the role of technology in education.

The Malawi 2063 vision and it’s First Ten Year Implementation Plan (MIP-1) are very important developments, especially the three pillars (agriculture, industrialisation, and urbanisation) and the seven enablers. Each of the seven enablers is crucial and needs to be incorporated into the curriculum, but two of them offer a starting point for the education system, namely mindset change, and human capital development.

The past three years have been characterised by health and climate emergencies, including the Covid-19 pandemic, a cholera outbreak, and devastating cyclones. The education system needs to incorporate content that will prepare young Malawians for emergencies such as these, in order to prevent, manage, and address them. The hope of human capital development and the resultant demographic dividend is that of freeing the mind and unleashing the potential of each individual to contribute to society.

Technology use in education can enable a lot of learning, but it can also cause a lot of harm. We need to weigh the costs and benefits of incorporating advanced technology at every level of the curriculum. The curriculum needs to provide knowledge on the positive and negative effects of technology use in education, so that young Malawians have the knowledge for making the best choices. As the title of the 2023 Global Education Monitoring Report, released in July, 2023, aptly puts it - Technology in Education: A Tool on Whose Terms?

Ultimately, we need to be realistic as to what a curriculum review can do and cannot do. The curriculum process needs to be seen as only part of a very complex educational equation. We can have a great curriculum, but if it is not properly resourced, and if teachers are not adequately educated and motivated, the curriculum can achieve little. The broader social, economic and political milieu goes a long way in determining what a curriculum can achieve for a society.

Malawi needs an education system that prepares students for current challenges, but also for future problems unknown today. Therefore curriculum and pedagogy need to embrace knowledges, skills, attitudes and values that will enable graduates to think critically and creatively, to be innovative, to have uMunthu, to promote peace and wellbeing, and to help propel Malawi towards becoming the inclusively wealthy, industrialised and self-reliant nation we aspire to be.

Why Malawi’s education sector could be on the cusp of change

On 5^th April, 2022, Minister of Education, Hon. Agnes NyaLonje presented a ministerial statement to Parliament on the status of government projects in the primary and secondary education sub-sectors. The statement paints the grim reality of problems gripping the country’s education system, but it also shows that if we can follow through on current policy plans, strategies, and the national vision, we might be on the cusp of change over the foreseeable future.

It is nothing short of a national scandal, as we have known since the 2018 population and housing census, that 85 percent of 14-17 year-old Malawians are out of school. It is deeply troubling that 62 percent of students who pass the Standard 8 examination have nowhere else to go because our public secondary school capacity accommodates only 38 percent of those who pass. Such is the precarity and fragility of our education and social protection systems that 450,000 primary school learners (8 percent) have dropped out of school since the onset of the covid-19 pandemic. For secondary school students, that number is 37,000 (9 percent).

Before the cyclones between January and March this year, 10 percent of primary school learners were using temporary classrooms, while 25 percent were using open air classrooms. According to the Ministry of Education, the cyclones affected 476 schools in 22 education districts. There is a deficit of 4.4 million desks for both primary and secondary schools. At the primary school level, 75 percent of learners do not have a desk.

There is progress being made, but it is slow. The government has been constructing three teacher training colleges, but four years since construction started, not even one has been completed. Indications are that all three will be completed this year, which will be a great development. The Secondary Education Expansion for Development (SEED) project, which aims to expand or construct 250 secondary schools, started in 2018, and is expected to end in 2023. With one year to go, the project has constructed only 16 new secondary schools, and expanded only 30. Hopefully there will be an extension, owing to the delays this important project has encountered.

There are positive signs on the horizon, however. There are ambitious and forward looking policies and strategies that, if strictly followed and implemented, could lead to tremendous improvements in the system by 2030 and beyond. The MIP-1, the implementation plan for the first 10 years of the Malawi 2063 vision, has made several strategic provisions. By 2025 all primary schools are expected to have an Early Childhood Education program to ensure that every child has access to public pre-school. Currently only 28 percent of our children have access to pre-school, and these are mostly privately owned centres in urban areas. Access to early childhood education will help most children enter primary school well prepared, and succeed.

Currently about 800,000 children enter Standard One every year, and only about 300,000 survive to Standard 8. This explains why 67 percent of Malawians aged 15 and above do not have any school qualification, according to the 2018 population and housing census. There are far more Malawians outside the school system, than those in school, especially those of adolescent and young adult ages. The budget has nothing for them. The MIP-1 provides for community learning centres, which would address this problem.

There are three other really important strategic interventions the government is undertaking. The Ministry of Education is introducing Open, Distance and eLearning across the entire education system. This could unlock access for millions of Malawians who are denied an opportunity for education especially at secondary and tertiary levels. The Ministry is also developing a new science, technology and innovation strategy that, together with the ODeL strategy, could solve major problems of access, quality, research and innovation across the education system.

There is also a National Teacher Policy that aims to transform the teaching profession and make it central to improving the quality of education and enhance human development capabilities. Once launched, the teaching profession may not be the same. At the heart of Malawi 2063 and the MIP-1 are education, knowledges and competencies to deliver on the aspirations both in the short term and in the long term. That is why one of the seven pillars of Malawi 2063 is human capital development, which others prefer to call human capabilities to ward off the exploitative scent of neoliberal thinking. The education system, and teachers in particular, are therefore central to the achievement of the national vision.

So what we really need to do, as a nation, is to make sure we all understand the vision we have set for ourselves. Even more important is to develop a strong implementation mindset to ensure that we follow through on what we have pledged to do. We should put behind us the era of developing brilliant policies and strategies but failing to implement them. The Malawi 2063 and the MIP-1 are brilliant, well thought out documents. But they need to be seen as living documents that can respond to shifting ground. They also require vigilance and determination, especially in the governance and public sector performance areas.

What is most crucial about the new policies and strategies is that they need to aim at growing the economy exponentially, for the country to be able to start financing and implementing the national vision in the mid-term and in the long term. The current education sector investment plan for the period 2020 to 2030 envisages that for 2022, the education sector requires MK1 trillion. The 2022-2023 budget passed in Parliament recently has allocated MK462 billion to the education sector; not even half of what is needed. This is a problem of the national economy and governance systems.

Currently there is about K153 billion ($180 million) from development partners going into the primary education sub-sector, and about K204 billion ($240 million), also from development partners, being spent on the secondary education sub-sector. Development projects in the education sector are still heavily dependent on donor aid, largely due to the size of our economy which is incapable of funding huge infrastructure projects. There is hope that the MIP-1 strategy might help to begin to change things.

The massive corruption and theft that have now become a daily front page routine pose an existential threat to the national vision, but one we can overcome, if we are determined enough.